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Post by shipton on Mar 23, 2022 9:03:22 GMT
HOB RACE 1The race changes complexion if the reserves get starts, 1 dog limited start but has a very good 1st split at first run may lead this field in the absence of the 10 dog HOB Race 2The dogs drawn middle can cause problems in this race if they begin cleanly. 8 does have time on them all
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Post by shipton on Mar 23, 2022 9:20:51 GMT
HOB Race 3a few with limited starts, the 4 looks likely to lead with the 5 and 3
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Post by shipton on Mar 24, 2022 6:11:42 GMT
HOB race 5The 8 looks to get a clean run early, both 6-7 will move inside, 6 last 2 starts below par for it, draw doesn't help with it's confidence, 1 dog has shown better early speed drawn in the 1 so it might be pushing thru the rails at T1 see Mike's (Tasracing) breakdown of the race; "Race Breakdown: GREEN MACHINE (8) has a great record from wide boxes and drops back from Invitation class where he ran a good race last time out. There isn’t a lot of early pace in the field and he looks a chance of crossing RUN RED RUN (6) before the bend. Another runner who may be suited by a lack of early speed is BEDROCK CRUISER (1) who has his best draw in some time after a long run of poor boxes."
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Post by shipton on Mar 24, 2022 6:36:06 GMT
HOB race 6Maiden Final The 6 and 8 both look to lead to T1 followed by the 7 dog, both just can't the distance your paying a premium with the odds if you wager the 8 being a leader and box 8. 4 dog has a flat spot after the 1st split , 5 is slow early looks for the rails 3 has had plenty of chances to win races will be just behind leaders , 2 is very slow early and will just run on rails, 7 is the most consistent of all the dogs
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Post by shipton on Mar 24, 2022 6:52:55 GMT
HOB Race 7The 8 dog last 3 starts have been at another level , priced at what its running, 105+ the 3 dog form has slumped last two starts has only rated 98 and 101 does run around 104 , not enough to beat the 8 but close. 8 has slow box speed, then accelerates, the key dog re. interference is the 4 who can run around the 103 rating but raced poorly mid dist race and is a FTP dog and it impacts the 3,5,6
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Post by shipton on Mar 24, 2022 7:14:51 GMT
HOB Race 8A lot of these dogs can run times at other tracks but not at HOB461 or they ran the times years ago. 6 dog ran mid dist race on a quick back up not ideal 3,4,5 could be the early leaders. 8 dog is very slow early but would be fastest overall has run poorly last 4 starts
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Post by shipton on Mar 24, 2022 7:33:23 GMT
HOB Race 9The 2 dog prefers a wide draw but it's advantage is it can begin well sometimes, will be looking at others in this race to place I have added the win expectations for dogs 1,2,3 all are very negative
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