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Post by shipton on Apr 15, 2022 0:35:41 GMT
HOB Race 5market is in link above. 1pt.=1mtr. I have the 3 leading with the 4 dog on it's shoulder, 1 is about .5 behind on rails and the 2 looks to be behind those 3 dogs. The 1 dog has LAW an rated a 104 , 4 dogs rated around the 101the 2 rated around the 99-98, the outside dogs all look to be caught wide and back around 1.5 metres to 1st split
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Post by shipton on Apr 15, 2022 1:49:40 GMT
HOB Race 6The 6 dog needs rails does have good accel from the 1st to 2nd split , I have the 3 leading from the 2 and then the 5 an 6 both 5 an 7 both also move to rails. 6 dog only win rated about the 99, but all it's other starts it had never gone better 94, looked to get a racing line when it won. 3 has rated a 99 when it won Oct 21. 5 has the most consistent recent times , 8 dog tires badly this distance rarely runs over the 400mtrs and has not had a lot of recent starts. 1 dog normally wins its races around the 96 prefers shorter distances
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Post by shipton on Apr 15, 2022 2:16:59 GMT
HOB Race7The 7 looks likely to lead, with the 6,7,8 all normally head to rails, 1 dog is out the back 3 could be in 2nd spot thru the 1st split but generally races wide
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Post by shipton on Apr 15, 2022 2:44:49 GMT
HOB Race 4all the early speed is in the 8-7 6 tends to have slow box speed , 4 an 5 have slow box speed 6 an 7 generally are over 450mtr dogs
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Post by shipton on Apr 15, 2022 3:35:08 GMT
HOB Race 3the 6 dog it's last two starts have been shockers. it would generally be the Fav in this type of race old form puts it leading or just sitting outside of the 3 dog, with the 5 dog in the middle, I'm going to prefer the 3-5 looks like the early odds makers are marking the 6 as needing to improve a lot which I agree. 1 7 and 8 look to be out the back 2 an 4 just behind the 3-5-6 in the early speed. Mike over at Tasracing saw the 6 a bit differently to me here is his thoughts "Race Breakdown: OVER THE ANVIL (4) has been beaten as favourite at his last two starts over this short distance. He draws poorly once again and there are some fast starters to his outside that prefer to head towards the fence. One of those chasers is TAH ALLIE (6) who had no luck here last start from the inside and may get some room in the run to the turn. Similarly, TOXIC TURTLE (3) is capable of bouncing back from a good draw after finding plenty of trouble on Monday night. Staking Strategy: TAH ALLIE (6) may be better suited from a wider draw on this occasion. Betting Plan: TAH ALLIE (6) 2 units to WIN."
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