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Post by shipton on Apr 17, 2022 2:17:31 GMT
I'll try an post a few of the 515 races LCN Race 2Such an even field 1 4,8 look likely to be close lead 1, likes to get off rail a bit and the 8 likes to rail , 4 first go at dist. ranks about 3rd to top turn based on other trks, tends to drop of a bit in run home, 3 likes to get wide as well. 6 has run the best times consistently on track but not by much, maybe all about the odds this race LCN Race 45 dog looks to good, 1 dog wants wide has run quicker then rating LCN Race5Key to this race is box 2 wants to cross wide early and has good early speed, might unsettle the 3 dog who has been racing very consistently, 6 wants inside to show best , the 4 does what it always does LCN Race 6The 3 dog has rated 115.3 an 112. 8 over course an dist. should be racing on a bigger stage , than here at the worst track in Aust. 4 dog has gone a 108 has very good box speed likes wide , 7 is also a very good dog rates around the 107 -108 has better times than the 3 to 1st split and 2nd split but drops away in run home, the 4 may hold it out going to T1 LCN Race81 dog is drawn to lead all the way, 7 wants rails, 2 dog has two starts since 70 day break for two poor runs needs to improve a lot but has a 99 rating which can be problematic
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Post by marcus25 on Apr 18, 2022 0:39:08 GMT
I sometimes wonder how Sky rates dogs & horses.
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Post by shipton on Apr 18, 2022 7:14:54 GMT
the are compiled by Wizard Odds , don't know how they do Tas dogs with the limited sectional data , to get them on a scale 100 they index although they say its 4 pts = 1 length you just have to ignore a Length can vary and compressing the pts distorts the margins amongst other things
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Post by shipton on Apr 18, 2022 7:43:03 GMT
I'll post a few 278mtrs if time permits LCN Race 3the 4 ran very ordinary last two starts, is struggling to run 97 rating have it top rated at 99 odd because of field strength I'd suggest, 1 dog has struggled from the 1-2 boxes before (Mike at Tas prefers the 1, maybe he has seen better detail than me with his runs) 2 dog ran back into some form last start , 7 looks to lead the outside dogs easily but is very similar in strikerate as the 2 dog 50 odd starts for both having only 1 win, but plenty of placings LCN Race 1 a few of these are suited over longer distance. 7 and 5 look to be the leaders, 2 dog has above avg. ability but has struggled to get out of boxes and run, begins evenly it would win, but on paper looks to be 1.5mtrs behind leaders thru T1 Race preview from Mike Clarke "Race Breakdown: SHE’S SOMETHING (2) ran a nice race at her first Tasmanian start in Devonport where she was only a length off Invitation class 278m runner, Toxic Turtle at the second marker. From a good draw she has each-way claims based on that effort. SEMI PRECIOUS (7) has excellent form for this race, but an awkward, wide draw as does NANNY IN TOWN (8) who has won all her races from box one. Staking Strategy: SHE’S SOMETHING (2) is drawn to feature in an even opening race. Betting Plan: SHE’S SOMETHING (2) 1 unit each-way"
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