|
Post by shipton on Jul 31, 2022 6:27:30 GMT
RACE 1The 8 beat the 2 when they last met, but the 2 was badly checked when going to head it off, has railed well here before and has run above average run home times over the shorter distance, the 8 looks to track centre might run that extra ground both these dogs should head up thru the grades.
|
|
|
Post by shipton on Jul 31, 2022 6:50:02 GMT
race 7When drawn the inside box it has not been kind to the 1 dog, really needs to hold inside the 7 has early speed will be looking to cross as does the 3 dog
|
|
|
Post by shipton on Jul 31, 2022 7:15:19 GMT
Race 8This race hinges on what the 5 an 6 do at start and thru T1 , 5 lost the turn last week should improve if it can stay inside thru both turns
|
|
|
Post by shipton on Jul 31, 2022 7:46:26 GMT
Race 5the 4 is a wide runner and same as the 6, 5 needs to get a clean start, 3 will rail and 7 will try and come across Time Threshold the link below has two tables showing the ratings /percentages/count at each level , one dog Aquiline has what appears an outlier top rating i'm sure it was that the clocked the lure 1pt = 1 metre Time ThresholdCombined ThresholdWhat is interesting Mike at Tasracing who has much the same data has gone for the 2 dog, which is not a bad wager considering its been badly checked recently and wants a rails draw , with a slow beginner in bx1
|
|
|
Post by shipton on Aug 1, 2022 7:39:06 GMT
I'll post the data tables without my rating an odds Race 6Here is the Time thresholds Thresholds CombinedThe 7 can muster early which might just hold out the 8 in the run, plus 4 dog has to contend with the 3 early, allowing the 1 dog to have an advantage
|
|