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Post by shipton on Oct 26, 2022 7:33:33 GMT
Race 2the 8-7 both have good early speed, but the 8 will be more of a hindrance to the 7, who has raced three times box 1 and headed wide each time, then thru T1 back to rails then goes wide at the exit of the turn. the 3 dog led the 2 dog last start but raced wide thru T1 and was checked out so it may just give the 2 room again in the run. 4 has gone up with the lids a few times normally slow out and crosses rails and is one of the better ones in accelerating to the 2nd split
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Post by shipton on Oct 26, 2022 9:28:45 GMT
Race 1The 2 has beaten a few of these gets it's best chance to win likely to lead with the 3, 6 an 8 are the other likely to figure early, 3 an 6 trapped wide is no good, 8 likes a wide draw coming back after a 48 day spell , 1 dog is generally slow out and likes to push wide from inside , thats the 2 dogs biggest risk is the 1 jumping well and then looking for room. 5 will need a clean beginning looks tough assignment with the 6 on its outside
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Post by shipton on Oct 26, 2022 11:05:29 GMT
Race 3the 1 dog is a wide runner is the only real concern to it winning, but in it's favour, the 2 and 3 also move wide. it should lead from the 5, 4 ,6 the 9 would be about the same as the 4 an 6 with early speed
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Post by shipton on Oct 27, 2022 5:58:24 GMT
Race 4Looks likely the 3 dog will lead and get to the rails thru T1, the 1 and 2 both like to race wide , 2 has been racing a bit flat last few 461mtrs starts, 4 will be slow early and looking to get home may have to contend with the inside dogs thru T1, 8 can show speed but has been racing below it's norm.
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Post by shipton on Oct 27, 2022 6:36:46 GMT
Race 5the 7 should be too good for these dogs, but the 4 as I said previously can ruin races with its non-chasing, be good to see if it can chase down the 6.
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Post by shipton on Oct 27, 2022 7:26:23 GMT
Race 7the 1 dog is doing a quick 2 day backup, has struggle previously over 461mtr plus it does like room when drawn inside, 2 dog resuming after a marring incident at LCN515 goes a lot better here may get the run if the 1 moves of and fades. 7 has good early speed looks to lead will be one of the ones still accelerating thru T1 8 is similar but tends to fade, 10 dog could be a problem early as it has early speed but normally likes to head wide
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Post by shipton on Oct 28, 2022 6:44:09 GMT
R8_Aston_ViragoIn my market last night I had this dog rated at $11. but all the markets were showing solid support, if you look at the ratings for all it's recent starts and the look at the DaysLastStart col. you will notice the spells. Then look at its recent SP lines, one would have thought its rating for last night would be around the 95 mark or a little better with improvement but to get to the odds that were being taken last night it's projected rating would be around 99-100, now thats a big improvement especially considering how consistent it had been rating. Look at what it was doing last year it can exceed the 100 so with the adjusted rating to 100 its adjusted price was 4.20 and the way it improved last night justified the $$$ support. But we are still left with why did it improve?
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