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Post by shipton on Jan 8, 2023 2:25:21 GMT
I normally don't post the last few races at a meeting, so I'm posting the later races first. When I first started posting, I put a table on the end (F)x showing how punters over-wager certain types of runners, in light of BB recent posting and creating interest that if a runner is over wagered then the flip side is something else will be under wagered. (the closer to zero in my table the more they are overbet) It is not that we ignore these types of runners but we need to be selective when we wager. Race 9the 3 dog looks likely to lead and likes rails, 2 crosses rails early , 4 tends to be slow early, 5 dog is a big query has rated a 97 best in field when leading, last start checked badly at start mustered down back to get into a good position then faded, looks to get a clean beginning, 6 likes wide, 9 improved last start but hit running rail going to first turn
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Post by shipton on Jan 8, 2023 4:18:43 GMT
Race 10Long term maidens - 1 dog drops grade has a good draw to lead, 2 ran really well 1st up after a break likes the rails looks to have found a new level, will need to improve out of the boxes, 6 likes wide good early speed has beaten most of these previously but never won, dogs in 5 likes to rail 7 likes wide and 8 is generally a slow beginner but drawn well to improve
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Post by shipton on Jan 8, 2023 4:41:58 GMT
Race 52 dog ran fastest time last week, but its run home time was slowest in the race and in this final, so it needs to get a clean run early or to top turn, 3 has led it once, and the 7-8 will not make it easy either as they have good early speed, 5 tends slow early, but has a lot of ability and strong in the run home was chopped out early least week and thru T1, if it gets a clean run should show it's ability
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Post by shipton on Jan 8, 2023 6:36:22 GMT
Race 23 an 8 long term maidens with plenty of starts, 4 looks likely to lead has run a very good split but has been hit an miss ,5 runs wide has shown ability in some of its sectionals but hasn't put it together and much the same as the 2 dog has been VSO and very wide race close to rails they improve a mile
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Post by shipton on Jan 9, 2023 6:35:24 GMT
Race 4hard race to piece together, fav dogs are slow early, 4-6 look likely leaders, 3 and 7 will both be looking for passages thru the field
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