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Post by shipton on Jan 4, 2015 23:20:58 GMT
Ballarat Tier 3 meeting
Race 1 390m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2}BST SPLT
4 TOTES AMAZEBALLS387.58 8.64 8.61
5 SLIPAWAY ANNA 386.61 8.66 8.57
7 EUMERALLA DESSY 383.94 8.57 8.56
2 TWELVE STEPS 383.12 8.63 8.60
9 STAR VAPOUR 383.11 8.70 8.66
3 SOMEBODY'S IMAGE381.73 8.81 8.79
8 KUSCHY'S KRYPTO 379.44 8.85 8.85
1 SWEET LITTLE LIE378.73 #NUM! 9.01
6 ROXY POP 377.95 8.85 8.74
10 BULL BAR MAISIE 374.00 8.76 8.73Race 2 450m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2}BST SPLT
4 ALL VAPOUR 445.03 6.74 6.70
3 JUKEBOX HERO 444.91 6.75 6.70
6 ONE MID 444.86 6.70 6.60
1 CULTURAL 443.52 6.81 6.79
8 LADIES KAY 440.32 6.81 6.81
9 HOTLIPS MATILDA 439.75 6.81 6.79
2 VASILE BOY 439.42 #NUM! 0.00
5 WILD WEST STRESS438.14 6.97 6.96
7 JADES INC 434.74 #NUM! 6.91
10 HE GONE Res. 434.50 6.91 6.90Race 3 390m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
8 LIL' WHIRL GIRL 388.26 8.52 8.47
4 HOI POLLOI 384.73 8.77 8.73
1 LIZZIBEE 384.60 8.81 8.66
7 BULL ELEPHANT 381.54 8.69 8.67
9 HOTLIPS MATILDA 381.39 8.71 8.70
6 VALENCIA MISS 381.00 8.85 8.84
2 FORBIDDEN PLANET378.95 8.89 8.88
10 CHE ROAD Res. 378.93 #NUM! 8.63
3 JORDY'S GIRL 377.93 8.71 8.62
5 MAX MANTLE 375.93 8.90 8.85
Race 4 390m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
3 CALIPPO MAN 391.29 8.63 8.55
1 RAILWAY CONDER 388.94 8.58 8.53
5 BAZZAGREY 388.88 8.54 8.50
7 VAN GHOSTING 387.76 8.50 8.44
8 UNCOOL ALBERT 386.73 8.46 8.45
6 DAMN NUISANCE 385.48 8.70 8.69
4 KAY CEE SMACK 383.88 8.62 8.61
9 URGENT THIRST 382.48 8.63 8.54
2 TAMINICK GIRL 379.60 8.56 8.55
10 SPENCE MILLIONS 379.55 8.48 8.40
Race 5 545m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
8 HE'S NO JET 546.58 6.78 6.68
1 SPEED CHILL 543.46 6.72 6.69
3 LIONESS LULU 543.32 6.70 6.66
7 TOPEKA 541.56 6.97 6.93
4 FLOSSY THELLY 540.06 6.90 6.89
6 HOOK HIM IN 537.16 6.80 6.73
2 CEEJAY WHIM 536.80 6.96 6.94
5 SOHO DINGANE 534.89 6.96 6.96
9 IMA GOODIN Res. 534.52 6.91 6.86
10 BARBIE BOY Res. 531.88 6.91 6.89
Race 6 450m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
3 RUN RIGHT BACK 451.42 6.65 6.63
7 JEREMEY RENT 448.20 6.92 6.79
2 HOW TIME FLY'S 447.06 6.58 6.56
10 FANG LARKY Res. 446.39 6.71 6.67
1 SPYWARE 446.13 6.75 6.73
6 JACK'S PRINCE 445.49 6.75 6.74
4 MINER RUSH 443.38 6.84 6.83
5 DYNA REVY 443.11 6.82 6.70
8 CRUISEN BILLY 441.42 6.73 6.70
9 COSMIC LADY Res.438.34 6.82 6.79
Race 7 450m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
3 JET MIKADO 451.96 6.62 6.62
5 COSMIC DAICOS 450.02 6.79 6.77
4 ROAD TRIP BLUES 448.41 6.76 6.75
6 HOME YOU GO 446.57 6.71 6.65
10 OUR MURRAY GREY 446.19 6.68 6.67
9 ROXY'S A REBEL 445.53 6.64 6.62
2 LISTER BALE 444.89 6.81 6.79
7 BROAD BETTY 444.88 6.73 6.72
8 EM JO LEW 444.82 6.73 6.68
1 WIZARD OF OFFALY442.82 6.78 6.76
Race 8 545m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
3 MR. GENETIC 543.21 6.83 6.82
4 FIERY FOX 542.17 6.88 6.88
6 PRANCING LAD 538.27 6.93 6.88
10 DECTA Res. 538.25 7.11 6.99
5 WALLY MATUSZEK 537.75 6.81 6.78
8 CROWDZA TALKING 537.02 7.00 6.93
7 VENOM'S LAD 536.89 6.86 6.84
9 DIRK AND ROSIE 534.45 7.16 7.11
2 LONE SURVIVOR 534.34 #NUM! 7.28
1 COOLY QUEEN 532.71 7.08 6.88
Race 9 390m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
4 COWBOY JURY 393.71 8.44 8.32
2 SCHMOO 392.34 8.50 8.45
3 BONNIE'S REVENGE389.94 8.45 8.43
9 PERFECT CAUSEWAY388.44 8.54 8.54
5 AUNTY JANET 387.40 8.60 8.59
8 VALLETTA KNIGHT 386.30 8.58 8.58
6 PIA MATER 385.84 8.42 8.35
7 CRUISER SUNDAY 382.18 8.53 8.47
1 HERODIUM 382.15 8.62 8.61
10 COSMIC LADY Res.379.50 8.69 8.67
Race 10 450m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
10 LUCKY TWO LIPS 451.74 6.62 6.50
1 SUPER HOT 447.36 6.71 6.69
4 KOBYETTA 447.22 6.70 6.63
6 SLIPAWAY SIMBA 446.36 6.64 6.59
7 MASTER OF TIME 444.87 6.77 6.71
5 DOOMSDAY CLOCK 444.81 6.77 6.74
8 CARLANNA SHARNA 443.10 6.66 6.63
2 ICE COLD BUNDY 442.43 6.68 6.65
9 URGENT THIRST 440.81 6.78 6.71
3 DEEP ROCK 439.30 7.01 7.00
Race 11 390m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
4 MINI HAWK 394.16 8.38 8.37
9 HILLDENE DANCER 391.55 8.49 8.45
2 UNCONTROLLABLE 387.42 8.57 8.56
1 LEKTRA VISION 386.92 8.45 8.37
3 LALA RISE 385.59 8.55 8.55
6 JUST DEE PATIENT382.92 8.69 8.69
7 SHACHAR MAGIC 381.08 8.84 8.83
10 ONYX BLACK Res. 380.14 8.65 8.62
5 DIABLO'S ANGEL 374.06 8.68 8.66
8 MY BOBBY BOY 370.54 #NUM! 8.90
Race 12 390m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
4 HIGH ALIMONY 391.49 8.50 8.48
1 PRINCE SHAK 389.46 8.49 8.46
8 RIDDLE ME LAD 388.57 8.51 8.46
6 LOONEY LUCY 387.80 8.43 8.43
7 DON'S LEGEND 385.50 8.41 8.38
2 RENEWABLE ENERGY385.42 8.52 8.51
3 BUZZ CUTTER 384.87 8.49 8.47
5 EUMERALLA DANNY 383.69 8.50 8.48
10 TURANZA MAGIC 381.89 8.55 8.52
9 BANDSAW Res. 380.98 8.67 8.65
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Post by eggy79 on Jan 5, 2015 0:52:01 GMT
just trying something out here, using some of your data
Hope you don't mind me posting it here Shipton
Ballarat race 1
4 - $4.67
5 - $5.19
7 - $7.13
2 - $7.92
3 - $9.77
8 - $12.07
1 - $13.41
6 - $14.90
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Post by eggy79 on Jan 5, 2015 0:56:38 GMT
ballarat race 2
4 - $4.94
3 - $5.49
6 - $6.10
1 - $6.78
8 - $10.33
9 - $11.48
2 - $12.75
7 - $24.00
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Post by eggy79 on Jan 5, 2015 1:01:28 GMT
race 3
8 - $3.87
4 - $5.90
1 - $6.56
7 - $9.00
2 - $10.00
10 - $11.11
3 - $15.24
5 - $18.81
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Post by eggy79 on Jan 5, 2015 1:37:22 GMT
i think I still need to make a few adjustments, but it could be something that can help in the future hopefully $$$
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Post by shipton on Jan 5, 2015 5:28:47 GMT
Keep it simple with these 5 line form lines, remember todays dogs are the lowest quality dogs running, with the worst recent form. If your going to do any sort of analysis do it based on finding the dogs to run 2nd , 3rd firstly as I said to Ipunter use reward bet to get an idea take the top 2 dogs with a max of 3 others to run the minors.
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Post by shipton on Jan 5, 2015 5:37:11 GMT
Geelong All Maiden meeting only 3 races have all dogs with exposed formlines
Race 6 460m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
8 JIMMY WHO 459.39 6.75 6.70
3 MASERATI REV 458.24 #NUM! 7.01
4 PRIMAL BIZ 456.84 6.87 6.83
2 SWEET ABOUT LOLA456.26 6.57 6.52
6 TAMBAY BALE 455.31 6.77 6.74
9 SPRING HOMBRE 452.77 6.77 6.77
7 MISS MARWIN 451.24 6.72 6.70
1 JUSTICE DAY 451.05 6.92 6.83
5 SHINTARO WARRIOR441.16 6.88 6.86
10 ROADRUNNER THIEF440.35 6.92 6.87Race 8 460m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
1 WAYNEWRIGHT 459.43 6.73 6.65
6 BLUE SUEDE GIRL 458.50 6.70 6.65
3 PATTY AND EYE 455.09 #NUM! 6.85
5 GINLEE'S PRINCE 452.58 6.70 6.69
2 QUEST BALE 451.72 6.87 6.84
10 SPRING HOMBRE 450.87 6.77 6.77
8 ARVO'S STEVA 450.28 6.92 6.92
9 IT'Z FAIR DINKUM448.25 6.86 6.85
7 SHE'S A MELGAR 446.95 #NUM! 6.82
4 DIGGINS 446.09 6.79 6.70
Race 11 400m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2}Best Split
1 TINA LEE 402.33 8.44 8.38
6 CALL ME BOZ 398.91 8.52 8.48
4 COCO SAVI 395.07 8.68 8.63
8 GAELIC FLAME 393.58 8.56 8.52
3 SOUTHWOOD LLOYD 393.20 #NUM! 8.61
9 IT'Z FAIR DINKUM390.03 8.70 8.68
5 OLIVIA SNOW 387.85 8.64 8.62
7 JUNCTION EAGLE 386.22 8.68 8.63
2 CARLA BALE 385.52 #NUM! 8.71
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Post by eggy79 on Jan 5, 2015 5:52:25 GMT
Sometimes the worst form dog races are easier to sort out
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Post by shipton on Jan 5, 2015 6:08:03 GMT
Definitely, but I was meaning that the real data that you need to look at in this class T3 is sometimes outside of the last 5 starts, that's where their true ability is shown.
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Post by shipton on Jan 5, 2015 6:16:40 GMT
Now in the races I just posted race 6 has a very good group of dogs competing in this race, the 8 dog wants the rails, that is when it ran it's BTime. The only time the 3 dog raced it walked out of the boxes and runs very wide. The 7 is 1 run back from a spell, has the same early speed as the 8 dog, 5 dog goes hard to the rails early, but is slow out, the 6 has good early speed wants the rails in its last race it was forced wide and was checked, the 2 dog has very good early speed in it's last race it was running 2 out with another leader when the inside dog fought it making it lose at least 4 metres. Now if I add in those adjustments my race selections now become 2,6,3,8
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Post by eggy79 on Jan 5, 2015 7:44:52 GMT
Definitely, but I was meaning that the real data that you need to look at in this class T3 is sometimes outside of the last 5 starts, that's where their true ability is shown. I tend the other way. T3 - I like dogs with minimal starts - lets say under 10 but have been placed. I find dogs with about 30 starts - 1 win - maybe 4 other placings, just aren't going to get any better.
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Post by shipton on Jan 5, 2015 8:26:48 GMT
Shepparton
Race 3 450m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
7 SAAHD 458.49 6.47 6.34
3 MISS GOLDEN TRON456.80 6.49 6.49
4 SHE CAN'T RUN 452.97 6.66 6.64
8 JODIE'S KNEE 452.39 6.71 6.63
6 JUNGLE WARFARE 452.32 6.70 6.69
5 COME AT ME 451.94 6.80 6.72
2 DR. WAUGH 450.56 6.75 6.73
1 SUPER TART 446.23 6.74 6.62
10 ROCK LEGEND Res.445.23 6.86 6.85
9 FRECKLE'S WAY 444.81 6.77 6.75Race 4 450m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
7 DR. PHIL 456.36 6.56 6.50
4 GAELIC PETER 453.00 6.62 6.62
8 GO GO ZARBO 451.60 6.74 6.72
5 JOHNNY HERITAGE 450.71 6.68 6.65
6 ASTONISH 450.48 6.67 6.66
3 SUTTON CLUB 449.88 6.66 6.65
2 IN THE FLESH 446.96 6.76 6.69
1 UNTRACEABLE 446.16 6.86 6.85
10 ROCK LEGEND Res.445.23 6.86 6.85
9 FRECKLE'S WAY Res444.81 6.77 6.75
Race 5 450m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
1 MISS TRON 454.98 6.53 6.53
2 KRAKEN CONCORD 454.53 6.74 6.73
7 TO THE GALO'S 454.28 6.73 6.72
4 ALL INN MENPHIS 453.20 6.74 6.73
3 DR. DES 451.14 6.81 6.80
5 DOUGIE'S CACTUS 447.43 6.76 6.75
10 ROCK LEGEND Res 445.23 6.86 6.85
8 STAGGERLICIOUS 445.22 6.77 6.75
9 FRECKLE'S WAY 444.81 6.77 6.75
6 COOP'S SURPRIZE 440.83 6.89 6.81
Distance set to Sandown 595 metres for ease of comparison due to limited starts this distance
Race 6 650m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
3 REAP THE BENEFIT597.04 9.48 9.47
1 ACOLA ROSEBUD 595.44 9.29 9.20
7 ACOLA EBONY 592.37 9.40 9.39
4 BIT HOT HENRY 591.05 9.69 9.66
6 STROMA 590.93 9.57 9.56
2 BLACK CHASE 590.34 9.36 9.33
5 ALOUETTE MAGIC 587.19 9.41 9.25
8 KAYLARIKKI 586.43 #NUM! 9.54
Race 7 450m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
8 SYMMETRY LAD 456.24 6.54 6.50
3 SHOUT OUT LOUD 455.49 6.60 6.59
4 COTTON BUD JOE 452.36 6.63 6.59
1 ALL INN BEMM 451.61 6.72 6.67
6 MAR WAH 448.49 6.62 6.56
7 DEE DIAMOND 448.05 6.84 6.83
5 WOLFPACK 447.82 6.81 6.78
2 PREMIER SONG 447.34 6.84 6.76
10 ROCK LEGEND Res.445.23 6.86 6.85
9 FRECKLE'S WAY 444.81 6.77 6.75
Race 8 450m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
8 PUNK PIRATE 460.51 6.57 6.54
3 TRICKY ROSE 458.73 6.59 6.58
2 BE TWO BOMBER 456.64 6.66 6.63
1 FEARLESS JOHN 454.23 6.67 6.64
5 DYNA SHINKO 454.10 6.55 6.54
7 REAL BAROQUE 451.68 6.73 6.71
6 KANG BALE 451.43 6.71 6.71
4 ALLEN QUARIAN 449.17 6.73 6.69
10 ROCK LEGEND Res.445.23 6.86 6.85
9 FRECKLE'S WAY 444.81 6.77 6.75
Race 9 390m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
4 ELITE DIVA 397.98 8.15 8.10
3 MOHINGA MAX 397.88 8.39 8.30
6 BEJAY THE DEJAY 397.21 8.44 8.36
2 MATT'S ENTITY 395.64 8.21 8.20
1 IMMORTAL POWER 394.35 8.45 8.42
8 MISS TOP GEAR 393.14 8.35 8.35
7 WOOMERA 390.74 8.61 8.55
Race 10 450m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
7 BEAU MAMBO 458.77 6.62 6.54
8 SHOSHONE STAR 454.82 6.68 6.64
2 TANGIBLE 452.90 6.71 6.65
5 QUIVER BALE 449.34 6.77 6.75
4 PREMIER WALLY 448.99 6.74 6.72
6 ZIPPING NOEL 448.79 6.81 6.77
3 EYE ADAM 448.61 6.59 6.56
9 FRECKLE'S WAY 444.81 6.77 6.75
1 BUDGET BLOWOUT 441.49 6.61 6.55
10 BLUE QUARTETTE 440.63 6.69 6.64
Race 11 390m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
5 UNBOUND 398.97 8.31 8.28
1 OBEY 393.54 8.14 8.13
2 HURRICANE ASH 392.85 8.38 8.36
7 ZOE 391.60 8.39 8.39
4 STYLISH CHIPS 390.74 8.52 8.48
6 EL JAY TORANA 390.44 8.58 8.52
3 TEAM PLAYER 389.42 8.53 8.51
9 STYLISH FANTASY 387.17 8.41 8.37
10 DON FIRE Res. 383.49 8.85 8.85
8 GIMME BUTTERFLYS382.99 8.66 8.58
Race 12 390m
Box Name Max L5 AVG{1,2} Best Split
7 KRAKEN CONAN 394.73 8.40 8.38
1 NELIEL BALE 393.51 8.54 8.50
5 MIGHTY HULK 391.80 8.46 8.44
6 COSMIC LILY 391.42 8.38 8.31
2 NICKENMAX 391.01 8.48 8.45
8 ALL INN CARLA 390.44 8.44 8.39
4 EDDY GOES BANG 387.39 8.50 8.46
9 STYLISH FANTASY 387.17 8.41 8.37
10 FRECKLE'S WAY 384.56 8.64 8.62
3 SMALL AND SPEEDY383.98 8.53 8.46
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