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Post by shipton on Apr 16, 2023 7:17:33 GMT
RACE 1Most of these struggle with distance, 8 has good box speed will cross rails, 1 will cross wide from start, but looks likely leader with the 4 dog, if 1 does not clear 4 both either get checked into T1 or race wide which impacts their finish, 2 likes to race centre track as well has rated well previously here , 6 and 3 are hard to get a line thru 6 maybe has more upside. 7 has drawn very well wide, hopefully not impacted by the 8 early, last half dozen starts has run the bets run home times in it's races, just needs to stick close early is avg about 4 metres from the leader at T1 in it's previous starts
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Post by shipton on Apr 16, 2023 8:23:22 GMT
RACE 42 dog is a class above these dogs, only issue would be 1 dog likes to move wide early and the 3 dog also likes to race centre track wide which is to it's own detriment
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Post by shipton on Apr 16, 2023 8:57:25 GMT
RACE 51 dog racing really well, they need to cross it before T1 to have a realistic chance of beating it, 2 has had a few goes here without really firing , but last two starts have been a big improvement, 7 looks to block the 8 out early and stopping it crossing, they both need clean runs to beat inside dogs
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Post by shipton on Apr 17, 2023 7:07:30 GMT
Race 6Here is an instance where the market is distorted by a couple of dogs who are non chasers, namely 3 and 8. On the 13/2. 1,3 and 8 all ran in same race they were respectively in the SP market $2.50, $3.60 and $26.0. In the running of the race 1 lead from the 3 and they cleared out from field 8 was well back and struggling to find a run, as they turned for the run home 3 ran underneath 1 and marred it to the finish line, both dogs in the Form lines ran very slow time and now that impacts Todays markets. But does the same happen again at it did on the 13/2. so it looks likely the 1 leads again , from the 3 and maybe 6 an 7, 7 will be looking to cross inside, 8 maybe follow them both across but it might get caught out wide it still doesn't have the acceleration to top turn like the 1-3-7
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Post by shipton on Apr 17, 2023 7:38:55 GMT
Race 76 dog has all the numbers, had a 9 month spell, 2 starts , ran nice run home times over 461mtrs , drawn well should lead. 5 has slow box speed
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