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Post by shipton on May 3, 2023 9:38:57 GMT
RACE 26 is poorly drawn wide will try and move inside, and with two fast beginners either side, the 7 will cross to the rails. 1 is drawn very well distance is a worry but should be close lead, 9 wants a wide draw as it will cross wide has pulled behind runners to cross wide. 2 is slow early as is the 3
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Post by shipton on May 3, 2023 10:41:28 GMT
Race 4Not much between the top 2 runners, the 4 has mainly raced over the short courses , both have similar speed figures from their last start last week, if the 1 dog holds the 4 wide thru t1 that will be the difference between winning.
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Post by shipton on May 3, 2023 11:01:41 GMT
Race 5early speed in the 4 and 8, then next best early 5 and 7 which can be problematic for their chances of getting a clean run, the 5 likes to move inside as does the 4, both 1 and 2 are have slow box speed, 2 has gone up with lids a few times 8 since returning from spell has tired may improve, 6 looks likely to get a clean run will run on strong, if 3 begins as normal it may get a clean run and run on as well
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Post by shipton on May 4, 2023 7:10:45 GMT
Race 6the 1 dog has had plenty of tries here to win, just doesn't rate to its best, plus will move wide thru to T1, 2 pulled many metres off it in the run home on the 27/4 after being squeezed up in the run to T1, 6 looks poorly drawn but it could begin and put it into a good position. 4 dog last two starts has rated much higher then I thought it would be capable, can't see any obvious change in why it has rated so well, but looks a good place/roughie wager, just given those two runs and a weak field.
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Post by shipton on May 4, 2023 7:29:41 GMT
Race 7the 5 looks likely to lead from the 6 and the 7 not too far behind, 7 has run the best times looks to get a clean, 8 also looks to get a good run into T1 is suited wide has gone better on the two turn tracks
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