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Post by shipton on May 14, 2023 2:20:12 GMT
Race 12 and 3 have the early speed, 3 is likely to lead into T1, might be hard to rundown as the 2 has been weaker in the run home, 2 also does want some room thru t1, 4 and 5 both move wide thru t1 again 7 will be out the back, needs to find itself closer to rails as has been getting pushed very wide thru turns
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Post by shipton on May 14, 2023 2:26:37 GMT
Race 59 likely to get the start from box 5 changes race dynamics a bit early, 1 and 3 are the early leaders, but you have four very strong run-on dogs chasing, it might be a tussle between 6 and 9 to settle in the 3rd position thru T1. (Unless the 10 gets a starts) 4 a normally slow beginner began very well last week to win 7 and 8 are slow beginner.
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Post by shipton on May 14, 2023 3:19:19 GMT
Race 71 dog looks likely to lead, the 3 can show good box speed my stop the 4 crossing early. 4 looks to be very well graded in this type of race, been in the state a month now, 6 has good box speed an will move inside so it should let the 7 have clean space early into T1. 8 is normally slow early and likes rails.
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Post by shipton on May 14, 2023 5:25:36 GMT
Race 2hard race to price with a few starters not having many starts and having a mix of very slow beginnings, anyway the 2 and 1 have good early speed 2 will cross wide it also returned from a spell last start , 3 is normally slow out and likes to move wide, may give the 1 dog a clean run and a chance, 5 dog looks to be close lead in the middle was badly disadvantaged last start has two very slow beginners drawn on its outside and a slow beginner in the 4 who likes to rail, 9 and 10 both query dogs have mixed form but some sectionals point to them having ability.
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Post by shipton on May 15, 2023 6:12:32 GMT
Race 3early speed looks to be 3 and 10, 3 has gone very well Hob expect the same here, 7 is well drawn bit iffy but looks to be getting home well, 9 slow out but has run on very well Hob, might get a clean run where it's positioned, the 1 has been placed a few times, tends to be slow out might get closed out at start, 2 has faded badly in it's runs so needs a clean break
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Post by shipton on May 15, 2023 7:47:09 GMT
Race 8a lot of long-term maidens posted the Fx table to show how badly some of these go for punters close to 0 your losing heaps, the new guy at tasracing has a 6 unit play on the 1 dog it has a good chance but it has had these chances at least 12 times in it's 20 odd career. anyway the 9 we know it tracks wide drawn ok 8 and 5 should lead clearly then the others need to run them down hopefully the 9 can race a little closer to the rails
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