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Post by shipton on Jun 7, 2023 8:51:25 GMT
Click on Race# for data and NormDist market Race 1I will post some commentary later tonight or tomorrow, always look at the split data, especially for the shorter races, then check ART data matches with the XTRK ( track distance) and L56 (recent data) both of these data points can cause the early odds to be shorter longer. Race 2Remember when you look at the 1st split Probs, always check where in the PIR they may settle, especially these short course races and in most cases they are moving inside over this course (hob340) |
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Post by shipton on Jun 7, 2023 9:44:12 GMT
Race 3, 4, 5 and 6 the dogs have qualified last saturday morning, most have only a few starts , I will attach kev's sample sheet and on sheet 2 is each of those races in box order with all of their formlines /ratings, the highlighted yellow columns are the finish adjusted time and the raw race time. You should be able to find the potential leaders, those that accelerate from T1 to T2 and the contenders with the best finish ratings Kev_sample.xlsm (74.27 KB) Just checking the TASracing site they don't have the results for those heats on Saturday morning, which may open the doors to some opportunites. Will post just some comments on these races Race 3 the 2 has good box speed, but also seems to have a flat spot thru T2 , 3 dog is also slow out but very strong in the run home, 5 had a very slow beginning at first start and ran on well against very good dogs, in the heat it stumbled after the start showed good accel figures looks a handy dog. 7 wants to cross inside as does the 8 dog |
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Post by shipton on Jun 8, 2023 6:34:07 GMT
Race 7the 2 looks likely to lead, the two fav dogs both are slow box speed types, 1 hits a flat spot thru T1 , 6 likes rails might provide a cross for the 6 to T1 , 8 is slow early consistent likes the draw needs to find a way thru field as well, 5 also likes to move rails, has run best times here last year when firing, but returned from spell and has run ordinary, was checked out over 278m last start hard to price given recent starts
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Post by shipton on Jun 8, 2023 7:09:29 GMT
Race 86 is expected to lead, only issue the other fast early dogs are drawn either side, 7 has ability but has been done for marring /FTP. 10 also has early speed but struggles to run this distance and moves wide . 2 drawn to show up , but on occasions has been slow early, but should be in front an cross the 1 who is a slow beginner and moves wide
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