LAUNCESTON 3-7

Race 2
never have much confidence in the 1 dog, it has led plenty of races for just a couple of wins but in good times, which is the query, my mental block or bias is that I feel it needs to be on the outside of other dogs otherwise it seems to quit. both the 5 and 7  have good early speed to cross and the 2,3,4, and 5 all want to move inside 2 not much box speed, but the 4 certainly has  the early speed as does the 3 dog check their formlines, 6 might be a touch slow at start but drawn where it likes to race, tough race hence no market as it would be distorted because of hit an miss nature of the 1 dog. 

Race 4
not a lot of real confidence in the 6, since the 1 month break has really done nothing of note, couldn't possibly be going this badly 8 will like the small field an has strung some nice runs together 

Race 6
I have posted the normal dist probs for this race, you can see the 1 and 2 in the current markets are reflected, the 5 if you refer to it's recent formlines you can see it's reflected in the market all , but really the 1 dog is having its first go at 515m and wants to move wide , the 2 is very slow early and will take awhile to warm up, 5 is generally slow early but may find a nice spot early