HOBART 2/11

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shipton
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Posts: 1,529

HOBART 2/11 Nov 1, 2023 9:14:04 GMT

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Post by shipton on Nov 1, 2023 9:14:04 GMT

RACE 5

The early speed is the 1 and 8, the 8 will stay wide till T1 and the 1 normally races to the centre track / Lure width, the 1 will be using it raw speed to win this race, the 2 stays centre track. 3 sits 3rd early does jump and rails may be the only negative for the 1 getting a bump early. 4 stays centre track so well drawn has the best acceleration to 2nd split ran time in daylight when winning might be only negative and, on that occasion, found closer to rail, will be interesting if the 1 keeps it wide thru T1, 5 and 6 both head wide or just stay same, 7 stays centre. 1 runs about 5.05 / 6.08 to 2nd split, whereas 4 goes 5.16 / 6.02

shipton
God

Posts: 1,529

HOBART 2/11 Nov 1, 2023 9:40:20 GMT

Quote

Post by shipton on Nov 1, 2023 9:40:20 GMT

RACE 6
the 7 is 3rd run back after a spell, i have priced it at running around the 25.85 mark or about 107, but so far in its last two starts its best data point is only 103 about 4 metres slower, 6 has been running really well its ticking over at 106 its last few starts, 1 dog it's best time is around 106 so it needs to step it will race around the Lure width or centre track 2 has been hit an miss last few starts also 3 runs back since a spell have been below its norm. the others are likely to be too slow to T1 to get into race.

shipton
God

Posts: 1,529

HOBART 2/11 Nov 2, 2023 5:24:43 GMT

Quote

Post by shipton on Nov 2, 2023 5:24:43 GMT

RACE 7

the 3 ran really well last start, always goes well this distance, but still will only run around a 5.12 first split, tthe 6 has been a touch off it's best first splits running around 5.06 which should get it close to leading with the 1 and the 2 thru T1, the 3 best efforts are in the run home so it needs a clean run thru the first two splits

shipton
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Posts: 1,529

HOBART 2/11 Nov 2, 2023 6:36:56 GMT

Quote

Post by shipton on Nov 2, 2023 6:36:56 GMT

RACE 8

4 looks to be midfield on early speed but not badly drawn, the 3 should cross inside, 1 is a very slow beginner 2 prefers to be drawn wide on the track, if the 3 and 4 beat it out its just going to cross behind them wide. 5 and 6 are slow early so should not come across, then it really is just the 7 and 8 leading into T1 both need clean runs to beat the 4

shipton
God

Posts: 1,529

HOBART 2/11 Nov 2, 2023 8:25:23 GMT

Quote

Post by shipton on Nov 2, 2023 8:25:23 GMT

RACE 3

the early speed is in the 3,4 and 5 followed closely by the 1 an 2 on the inside the issue being the 1 and 2 like to use the track early and push off rails whereas the 3,4 and 5 like rails and centre track, the 3 could just jump in front and that would be the race over. But the draw gives the 7 and 8 good chances of getting in the race if the inside lot jam up a bit both are well drawn 8 ran a might run home last week expect another good run.

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shipton: I got out alive on Thursday night but serve me right. I felt my setups were wrong from the start, just took too long to adjust Nov 16, 2024 10:44:07 GMT

Visitor: can't win 'em all you mean? tell me about it. last 4 picks of mine with plenty of $ on them for place came in 4th. gosh it hurts. Nov 15, 2024 13:07:37 GMT

shipton: Someone underperformed last night, maybe wasn't the dogs Nov 14, 2024 20:33:10 GMT

visitor: that is, only Northam tips are available today Nov 14, 2024 1:54:27 GMT

visitor: I noticed that sheets from DSF for the gallops were not available for every track the last couple of days, same for tips by tipsters for the dogs, only for Northam today. Is it a pay dispute or contractual? It happened before. Nov 14, 2024 1:53:26 GMT

shipton: put up results for both meetings, both played slow , always remember the LCN515 TV is always affected by the catching pen section of track, whereas the 278m might run their race on a far more consistent surface Nov 13, 2024 6:41:43 GMT

shipton: Yeah was all good Phil, made me laugh Nov 10, 2024 20:56:39 GMT

guest: Why phil? a joke never hurt anyone with a sense of humor. Nov 10, 2024 19:02:47 GMT

phil: Sorry,

Nov 10, 2024 16:14:02 GMT

shipton: I have posted a couple of jpgs, r5 and r6 , will try and look thru the 278m races for some usual suspects. Nov 10, 2024 9:58:16 GMT

shipton: my wife say's I don't have a sense of humor. proved her wrong Nov 9, 2024 12:12:45 GMT

shipton: for the younger folk still up, posted results, Track played slow around -.06 for the 461m, lot of conjecture re Ashton pulling up near the finish line on social media and not a good look but I feel there were circumstances around what happened. Nov 9, 2024 12:11:11 GMT

guest: shipton,

Nov 9, 2024 9:12:09 GMT

shipton: i will strive to do the early races on the card, so you guys can get tucked up into bed a bit earlier Nov 9, 2024 8:59:48 GMT

ipunter: Jesus Christ, guys, you remind me of my age, thank you, not! This blog been going on for this long? I wonder about moooe, has he been around lately? Hope he is OK and finding plenty of gold, the price is crazy. Nov 8, 2024 19:38:11 GMT *

guest: Pascal? Time sure flies, used to be the bees knees, I stuck with VB6 Pro, still running on Win 11 and any version of Access DB. Does me. Nov 8, 2024 17:59:25 GMT

scripting: Age??? don't mention it, shyte it sucks. Nov 8, 2024 3:16:28 GMT

scripting: bl**** hell guest, her mum was teaching me Pascal computer language, how time flies. Nov 8, 2024 3:13:27 GMT *

guest: I happen to know, good luck to her. Nov 8, 2024 3:02:14 GMT

scripting: It turned out somewhat badly in the end, not keeping up with the family now, old history, 30 odd years, people in the know would know or as they say on the net "IYKYK" Nov 8, 2024 2:14:38 GMT