Post by shipton on Oct 6, 2024 11:20:50 GMT
only three 515mt races so will post a few 278m, as I work thru I will post some jpgs.
Early speed the 1,2 and 7. 1 prefers centre track, 2 will be strong in the run home, 3 moves wide early and will finish on and the 4 has been easing at t1 so you would think no pressure on the 2 early. 5 hasn't raced for 5 months tends a bit slow early then moves inside has ability but might need to see and the 6 and 7 also move inside, 7 will be looking to lead and cross. 8 is perfectly drawn only raced a few times since spell and and those runs have been very good
LCN 07/10 R3
Bit of a shiteeeeeee show this race after with the scratchings for race 3, I didn't price the 10 thinking it would never run, if the race was over 515m it would win by lengths if fit, but different story 278m still rates around a 98.6, 2 would rate around 101 and the 7 about 100 at a stretch. for context the 8 would go around 98. dynamics of the race has changed I feel.
LCN 07/10 R3 amended
LCN 07-10 RACE 4
early speed the 1 and 3, don't think the 3 is up to this class, 1 can be hit and miss from the inside boxes and shifts thru the turn, that said it has a lot of ability if all goes to it's way. It's a shame this race as I had the 2 ,4 and 6 marked as unlucky runners from previous races and here they all are together so will make wagering them all a bit complicated, the 9 can show speed but shifts thru the turns and has run below par recently.
LCN 07-10 RACE 5
early speed the 6 and 5, 5 is best on finish times, and looking at the draw with slow beginners underneath 5 and 6 should get good runs, whereas the 1 dog will try an push off the rails so 5 and 6 need to clear that runner before t1. 2 may be advantaged as it will be slow early and cross rails and finish on
LCN 07-10 R6
The 7 dog is such a non chaser it could run any time but it won't, 8 also appeared last start to run well within itself non chasing so it has time up it's sleeve, 1 looks to lead followed closely by the 2 and the 8 on the outside, 3 normally moves wide as does the 6, might be just an exacta race with the 8to 7 to run 2nd (watch it chase hard now i said that)
LCN 07-10 R7
early speed the 1 and 2 with 4 and 5 closeup, 1 is 3rd start since a lengthy break giving it a lot of leeway for improvement on it's last start but drawn to show up. 4 has been running indifferent lately also goes up to it's heaviest racing weight tonight will race centre track and wide back straight, i'm leaning towards the 3 and 6 , maybe to challenge the 1 dog in the run home, both been a touch unlucky but that is part an parcel of slow beginners
Early speed the 1,2 and 7. 1 prefers centre track, 2 will be strong in the run home, 3 moves wide early and will finish on and the 4 has been easing at t1 so you would think no pressure on the 2 early. 5 hasn't raced for 5 months tends a bit slow early then moves inside has ability but might need to see and the 6 and 7 also move inside, 7 will be looking to lead and cross. 8 is perfectly drawn only raced a few times since spell and and those runs have been very good
LCN 07/10 R3
Bit of a shiteeeeeee show this race after with the scratchings for race 3, I didn't price the 10 thinking it would never run, if the race was over 515m it would win by lengths if fit, but different story 278m still rates around a 98.6, 2 would rate around 101 and the 7 about 100 at a stretch. for context the 8 would go around 98. dynamics of the race has changed I feel.
LCN 07/10 R3 amended
LCN 07-10 RACE 4
early speed the 1 and 3, don't think the 3 is up to this class, 1 can be hit and miss from the inside boxes and shifts thru the turn, that said it has a lot of ability if all goes to it's way. It's a shame this race as I had the 2 ,4 and 6 marked as unlucky runners from previous races and here they all are together so will make wagering them all a bit complicated, the 9 can show speed but shifts thru the turns and has run below par recently.
LCN 07-10 RACE 5
early speed the 6 and 5, 5 is best on finish times, and looking at the draw with slow beginners underneath 5 and 6 should get good runs, whereas the 1 dog will try an push off the rails so 5 and 6 need to clear that runner before t1. 2 may be advantaged as it will be slow early and cross rails and finish on
LCN 07-10 R6
The 7 dog is such a non chaser it could run any time but it won't, 8 also appeared last start to run well within itself non chasing so it has time up it's sleeve, 1 looks to lead followed closely by the 2 and the 8 on the outside, 3 normally moves wide as does the 6, might be just an exacta race with the
LCN 07-10 R7
early speed the 1 and 2 with 4 and 5 closeup, 1 is 3rd start since a lengthy break giving it a lot of leeway for improvement on it's last start but drawn to show up. 4 has been running indifferent lately also goes up to it's heaviest racing weight tonight will race centre track and wide back straight, i'm leaning towards the 3 and 6 , maybe to challenge the 1 dog in the run home, both been a touch unlucky but that is part an parcel of slow beginners
