Post by shipton on Oct 13, 2024 5:22:15 GMT
I will post the formline sheet later today, spent way too much time on r5 the 600m.
Early speed the 1 dog, followed by the 8, 2 and 5, 3 and 4 will be slow out, this could be the problem for the 1 dog, the 1 dog has been beaten a few times by most of the other runners so it will need to clear right out in front if its going to win. the 8 has been done for non chasing, but has been running on very strongly and might spoil the 1 chances. The market I assume will have the 1 a lot shorter then my quote, but thats OK. 4 has maybe so much time on this field, but again another non chaser who will spoil other dogs chances, hard to get lines thru the 2 and 9, 2 has been racing really well and good late, 10 has old form expect it to be maybe 2nd fav. if it draws wide it will run wide is it's problem. 7 ran really well only start this distance got fired up very late so it needs to navigate the field.
LCN 14/10 race 5
LCN 14/10 r6
r6 early speed should be the 7, but 4 has drawn closer rails has been unlucky recent starts, it might just be able to hold the 7 out early, 1 and 2 can be very tardy at start. 8 raced very well last start drawn well again would be hard to hold out given box draw
LCN 14/10 r4
R4 the three inside dogs normally tardy at the start and all will move wide, 4 likes to cross rails but needs to begin a touch better, 5 has early speed but also races wide , 6 just needs to begin better and will cross to rails looks a good dog draw is a negative, 7 well drawn wide looks to be close to leading this field, so should get a chance in this race, 8 is a slow beginner
FORMLINE_TAS_v1.1 14_10.xlsm (731.72 KB)
Early speed the 1 dog, followed by the 8, 2 and 5, 3 and 4 will be slow out, this could be the problem for the 1 dog, the 1 dog has been beaten a few times by most of the other runners so it will need to clear right out in front if its going to win. the 8 has been done for non chasing, but has been running on very strongly and might spoil the 1 chances. The market I assume will have the 1 a lot shorter then my quote, but thats OK. 4 has maybe so much time on this field, but again another non chaser who will spoil other dogs chances, hard to get lines thru the 2 and 9, 2 has been racing really well and good late, 10 has old form expect it to be maybe 2nd fav. if it draws wide it will run wide is it's problem. 7 ran really well only start this distance got fired up very late so it needs to navigate the field.
LCN 14/10 race 5
LCN 14/10 r6
r6 early speed should be the 7, but 4 has drawn closer rails has been unlucky recent starts, it might just be able to hold the 7 out early, 1 and 2 can be very tardy at start. 8 raced very well last start drawn well again would be hard to hold out given box draw
LCN 14/10 r4
R4 the three inside dogs normally tardy at the start and all will move wide, 4 likes to cross rails but needs to begin a touch better, 5 has early speed but also races wide , 6 just needs to begin better and will cross to rails looks a good dog draw is a negative, 7 well drawn wide looks to be close to leading this field, so should get a chance in this race, 8 is a slow beginner
FORMLINE_TAS_v1.1 14_10.xlsm (731.72 KB)
