Everything to do with horse racing

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newBookmarkLockedFalling the old
shirley 0 101 by shirley
Apr 24, 2017 2:31:54 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling in search of the long shot
shirley 0 111 by shirley
Apr 24, 2017 2:00:49 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling GOING WIDE ???
shirley 0 109 by shirley
Apr 23, 2017 2:25:42 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling hope fully a standerd
shirley 1 121 by shirley
Apr 22, 2017 0:59:31 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling ajusted percentage
shirley 0 93 by shirley
Apr 20, 2017 2:28:53 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Adjusted ?????
shirley 0 98 by shirley
Apr 19, 2017 3:54:12 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling The old hard way
shirley 3 127 by shirley
Apr 19, 2017 2:04:24 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling NEW
shirley 0 77 by shirley
Apr 17, 2017 3:59:45 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Back to 100%
shirley 2 155 by shirley
Apr 12, 2017 2:08:24 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling 80%
shirley 0 110 by shirley
Apr 9, 2017 2:00:08 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Markets
shirley 2 201 by shirley
Apr 8, 2017 2:16:00 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling The new, slight change the old in members
shirley 16 673 by shirley
Apr 6, 2017 2:38:32 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Some Sunday fun, (only if they win otherwise it's a PITA)
JohnB 0 114 by JohnB
Apr 2, 2017 3:04:02 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling TJ NEW COMBO
shirley 0 94 by shirley
Apr 1, 2017 1:09:17 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling The play around
shirley 6 282 by shirley
Mar 25, 2017 2:24:38 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling The trail of JT
shirley 5 195 by JohnB
Mar 18, 2017 17:42:29 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling The mix
shirley 3 184 by shirley
Mar 17, 2017 2:05:50 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling The rated
shirley 2 203 by shirley
Mar 12, 2017 1:43:19 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling under $4.00 rated 24 feb onward only 10 bets
shirley 2 97 by shirley
Mar 10, 2017 3:25:28 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling The tip or the shaft
shirley 25 1,051 by shirley
Mar 9, 2017 2:13:21 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling For Mick
JohnB 0 134 by JohnB
Feb 8, 2017 20:34:01 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Friday 29/01/16
mick 0 276 by mick
Jan 29, 2016 1:24:31 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Try again
mick 6 383 by mick
Jan 28, 2016 1:57:12 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Don Scott ratings in $100.000 + races just for the fun of it
shirley 9 656 by shirley
May 16, 2015 9:42:19 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling THE LEYLAND TIPS 2
shirley 3 427 by shirley
May 3, 2015 3:06:18 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling QUINS - CLASS 3 AND BM 70 + -WITH NO OTHER RESTRICTIONS
shirley 5 615 by shirley
May 2, 2015 7:04:31 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling The leyland brothers tips - travel around the countryside
shirley 8 665 by shirley
Apr 29, 2015 5:50:07 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling QUINS FOR FUN
shirley 4 716 by shirley
Apr 28, 2015 10:35:52 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling FAVS that are top weight rated - just to pass the time
shirley 2 391 by shirley
Apr 18, 2015 8:35:42 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling ONLY THE SHORTS
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shirley 42 1,486 by shirley
Apr 12, 2015 23:26:06 GMT

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shipton: Have loaded the sheet up with five races for Monday night so far, may look at the last two races Jun 30, 2024 9:02:24 GMT
shipton: Just put up the Hobart 27/6 result sheet, track played on the fast side Jun 30, 2024 0:57:31 GMT
shipton: Uploaded the sheet for Hobart will add some more markets later Jun 26, 2024 6:59:19 GMT
shipton: just added the race result sheet for Monday and Tuesday meets. Slow tracks both days Jun 26, 2024 3:05:53 GMT
BB: Unless someone can break it down and show it working as I described below, they're just selling hopes and dreams. Jun 22, 2024 13:22:32 GMT
kevinm: I will email them to clarify, let you know. Jun 22, 2024 13:21:03 GMT
kevinm: their other system generated 200 bets a year I just don't know what's going on, never mind lost a lot more money than a $150 over the years. Jun 22, 2024 12:30:14 GMT *
kevinm: OK Shipton I quoted from memory was close enuff. Jun 22, 2024 12:29:14 GMT
kevinm: How do you interpret this? Is it ten weeks or a year? ibb.co/gZDcmqf Jun 22, 2024 12:28:04 GMT
shipton: Kevin just looking at the number of bets 48 X .35 X $50 X 3.2 and a profit of $1,100 the calcs just don't look right Jun 22, 2024 8:16:35 GMT
BB: calculations will be redundant. By looking at it in sets, you know that if you have 3 sets fail in a row, something is really broken so all the calculations are meaningless. Jun 22, 2024 4:33:39 GMT
BB: If someone says you need to account for the mathematical probability of X and law of this and that blah blah blah and the whole risk of ruin thing, that doesn't really work in the real world because a system or model will eventually fail and your prior Jun 22, 2024 4:31:56 GMT
BB: e.g. avg. 35% + (STD of 5 * 3 = 15) = 50, so 15 * .50 = 7.5 * $50 = $375 when flat betting for one set, 3 sets (generous) $1,125. Covers most real world scenarios. Using Kelly or whatever it's obviously a function of percentages. Jun 22, 2024 4:29:25 GMT
BB: individual strike rate is and then take the average and standard deviation of those, then multiple the STD by 3 or 4 and add it to the average and use that as your maximum draw down to carry a losing set. 1 should be enough, but 3 would be generous. Jun 22, 2024 4:25:11 GMT
BB: Depends. There are an abundance of theoretical formulas for calculating that, but real world its best to just look at it as failed series or sets. If you have a independent split of say 300 results, divide that by 15 (the set) and then see what each sets Jun 22, 2024 4:22:46 GMT
kevinm: What sort of a bank you need to bet $50 at a S/R of 35% to see it through? Average price $3.2 Jun 21, 2024 23:31:34 GMT *
kevinm: Well so much for that, no tips and now they tell me there were only 48 bets for the last year for a profit of about $1100 at a $50 bet, a hundred and fifty bucks down the drain for the sub. How stupid can you get? Don't say! A dart will do from now on. Jun 21, 2024 23:29:47 GMT
kevinm: visitor, my first tips are coming on Friday, they say it's before 4PM so plenty of time to place a bet for Saturday races, don't quite know if they provide betting guidance as well or if it's win, place or eaw. Let you know. Jun 18, 2024 17:58:26 GMT
shipton: Have posted the result sheet for Monday night have included an additional column with some explanation in the thread, might be of some interest to somone Jun 18, 2024 9:34:18 GMT
shipton: have posted the sheet for Monday night meeting will add some more Jun 16, 2024 6:17:45 GMT
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