Everything to do with horse racing

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newBookmarkLockedFalling Echuca Monday 22
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Mostly Morphv. on Sat.
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newBookmarkLockedFalling wednesday
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Tatura
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Sept 9, 2014 7:38:21 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling The two Ws
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Balaklava and Sandown 3 Sep
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Wodonga 01 Sep
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Morphettville Sat.
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Aug 30, 2014 1:45:26 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Geelong 29 Aug
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Sandown&Murray Bridge 27 Aug
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Geelong Tue 26 Aug
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Warrnambool 25 Aug
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Mildura today 24 Aug
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Aug 24, 2014 2:04:52 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Wangaratta & Morphettville 23 Aug
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Mildura 22 Aug
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Seymour 21 Aug
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Gawler and Sandown 20 Aug
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Geelong today
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Aug 19, 2014 1:57:10 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Naracoorte Sunday
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Aug 16, 2014 22:55:11 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling SATURDAY RACING
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Mornington today
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Aug 15, 2014 0:58:03 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Sale today
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newBookmarkLockedFalling A few races for Wednesday
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newBookmarkLockedFalling tuesday tantrums
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Aug 12, 2014 7:09:21 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Geelong Tuesday
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Aug 12, 2014 4:24:29 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Monday SWH
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Aug 11, 2014 1:43:35 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Sunday racing
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Aug 9, 2014 23:58:19 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Form Guides
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Saturday
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Only if you are bored!!!
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shipton: Have loaded the sheet up with five races for Monday night so far, may look at the last two races Jun 30, 2024 9:02:24 GMT
shipton: Just put up the Hobart 27/6 result sheet, track played on the fast side Jun 30, 2024 0:57:31 GMT
shipton: Uploaded the sheet for Hobart will add some more markets later Jun 26, 2024 6:59:19 GMT
shipton: just added the race result sheet for Monday and Tuesday meets. Slow tracks both days Jun 26, 2024 3:05:53 GMT
BB: Unless someone can break it down and show it working as I described below, they're just selling hopes and dreams. Jun 22, 2024 13:22:32 GMT
kevinm: I will email them to clarify, let you know. Jun 22, 2024 13:21:03 GMT
kevinm: their other system generated 200 bets a year I just don't know what's going on, never mind lost a lot more money than a $150 over the years. Jun 22, 2024 12:30:14 GMT *
kevinm: OK Shipton I quoted from memory was close enuff. Jun 22, 2024 12:29:14 GMT
kevinm: How do you interpret this? Is it ten weeks or a year? ibb.co/gZDcmqf Jun 22, 2024 12:28:04 GMT
shipton: Kevin just looking at the number of bets 48 X .35 X $50 X 3.2 and a profit of $1,100 the calcs just don't look right Jun 22, 2024 8:16:35 GMT
BB: calculations will be redundant. By looking at it in sets, you know that if you have 3 sets fail in a row, something is really broken so all the calculations are meaningless. Jun 22, 2024 4:33:39 GMT
BB: If someone says you need to account for the mathematical probability of X and law of this and that blah blah blah and the whole risk of ruin thing, that doesn't really work in the real world because a system or model will eventually fail and your prior Jun 22, 2024 4:31:56 GMT
BB: e.g. avg. 35% + (STD of 5 * 3 = 15) = 50, so 15 * .50 = 7.5 * $50 = $375 when flat betting for one set, 3 sets (generous) $1,125. Covers most real world scenarios. Using Kelly or whatever it's obviously a function of percentages. Jun 22, 2024 4:29:25 GMT
BB: individual strike rate is and then take the average and standard deviation of those, then multiple the STD by 3 or 4 and add it to the average and use that as your maximum draw down to carry a losing set. 1 should be enough, but 3 would be generous. Jun 22, 2024 4:25:11 GMT
BB: Depends. There are an abundance of theoretical formulas for calculating that, but real world its best to just look at it as failed series or sets. If you have a independent split of say 300 results, divide that by 15 (the set) and then see what each sets Jun 22, 2024 4:22:46 GMT
kevinm: What sort of a bank you need to bet $50 at a S/R of 35% to see it through? Average price $3.2 Jun 21, 2024 23:31:34 GMT *
kevinm: Well so much for that, no tips and now they tell me there were only 48 bets for the last year for a profit of about $1100 at a $50 bet, a hundred and fifty bucks down the drain for the sub. How stupid can you get? Don't say! A dart will do from now on. Jun 21, 2024 23:29:47 GMT
kevinm: visitor, my first tips are coming on Friday, they say it's before 4PM so plenty of time to place a bet for Saturday races, don't quite know if they provide betting guidance as well or if it's win, place or eaw. Let you know. Jun 18, 2024 17:58:26 GMT
shipton: Have posted the result sheet for Monday night have included an additional column with some explanation in the thread, might be of some interest to somone Jun 18, 2024 9:34:18 GMT
shipton: have posted the sheet for Monday night meeting will add some more Jun 16, 2024 6:17:45 GMT
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