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newBookmarkLockedFalling Racing for 2015
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eggy79 33 1,755 by eggy79
Feb 24, 2015 23:47:39 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Marty's overlay bets
Deleted 2 398 by Deleted
Feb 12, 2015 11:42:07 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling The early gos
shirley 3 504 by Deleted
Jan 31, 2015 12:14:43 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Might be of interest
shipton 6 500 by Deleted
Jan 30, 2015 6:33:15 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Marty's selections for 2015 /or until proved a loser?
Deleted 12 605 by Deleted
Jan 16, 2015 7:44:16 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Every day favs
shirley 1 409 by shirley
Jan 10, 2015 0:37:22 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Trying to select races for value quinellas and exactas ????
shirley 0 400 by shirley
Jan 7, 2015 4:40:30 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Stony Creek & Moruya 05/01
Deleted 0 297 by Deleted
Jan 4, 2015 21:40:27 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Geelong & Kilmore 3/01
Deleted 0 261 by Deleted
Jan 3, 2015 21:27:31 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Morphettville today 3/1/15
Deleted 1 402 by eggy79
Jan 3, 2015 0:20:00 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Perth cup
shirley 1 531 by shirley
Jan 2, 2015 4:32:49 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling here we go
eggy79 3 419 by eggy79
Dec 5, 2014 23:10:09 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Something to look at?
Deleted 3 335 by Deleted
Dec 5, 2014 2:00:11 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling the guessing game
eggy79 2 384 by eggy79
Nov 27, 2014 8:43:45 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Does the race suit the horses running style.
shirley 25 932 by eggy79
Nov 24, 2014 8:14:04 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling november 22nd
eggy79 6 363 by eggy79
Nov 23, 2014 3:38:42 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling ASCOT HUMMM
shirley 4 407 by shirley
Nov 22, 2014 9:38:33 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling BALLARAT CUP HMMMM
shirley 0 318 by shirley
Nov 21, 2014 23:50:55 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling November 15
eggy79 2 338 by eggy79
Nov 16, 2014 7:15:24 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling MELB CUP MARKET
shirley 2 327 by shirley
Nov 4, 2014 2:58:02 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling cox plate day
eggy79 0 351 by eggy79
Oct 24, 2014 23:25:50 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling THE LONG SHOTS
shirley 17 834 by shirley
Oct 17, 2014 23:53:40 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling wednsday
eggy79 0 357 by eggy79
Oct 14, 2014 23:19:26 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Betting like a pro
shirley 1 267 by eggy79
Oct 14, 2014 8:14:56 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Penola today
Deleted 0 213 by Deleted
Oct 11, 2014 22:34:16 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling New or old form sites interesting things
shirley 7 449 by Deleted
Sept 29, 2014 1:43:21 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Geelong today
Deleted 0 248 by Deleted
Sept 26, 2014 1:30:09 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Seymour 25/09
Deleted 0 319 by Deleted
Sept 25, 2014 0:50:56 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling wednesday winners?
eggy79 1 254 by eggy79
Sept 24, 2014 7:37:13 GMT
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newBookmarkLockedFalling Murray Bridge and Bendigo 24/09
Deleted 0 123 by Deleted
Sept 24, 2014 2:38:23 GMT

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shipton: Have loaded the sheet up with five races for Monday night so far, may look at the last two races Jun 30, 2024 9:02:24 GMT
shipton: Just put up the Hobart 27/6 result sheet, track played on the fast side Jun 30, 2024 0:57:31 GMT
shipton: Uploaded the sheet for Hobart will add some more markets later Jun 26, 2024 6:59:19 GMT
shipton: just added the race result sheet for Monday and Tuesday meets. Slow tracks both days Jun 26, 2024 3:05:53 GMT
BB: Unless someone can break it down and show it working as I described below, they're just selling hopes and dreams. Jun 22, 2024 13:22:32 GMT
kevinm: I will email them to clarify, let you know. Jun 22, 2024 13:21:03 GMT
kevinm: their other system generated 200 bets a year I just don't know what's going on, never mind lost a lot more money than a $150 over the years. Jun 22, 2024 12:30:14 GMT *
kevinm: OK Shipton I quoted from memory was close enuff. Jun 22, 2024 12:29:14 GMT
kevinm: How do you interpret this? Is it ten weeks or a year? ibb.co/gZDcmqf Jun 22, 2024 12:28:04 GMT
shipton: Kevin just looking at the number of bets 48 X .35 X $50 X 3.2 and a profit of $1,100 the calcs just don't look right Jun 22, 2024 8:16:35 GMT
BB: calculations will be redundant. By looking at it in sets, you know that if you have 3 sets fail in a row, something is really broken so all the calculations are meaningless. Jun 22, 2024 4:33:39 GMT
BB: If someone says you need to account for the mathematical probability of X and law of this and that blah blah blah and the whole risk of ruin thing, that doesn't really work in the real world because a system or model will eventually fail and your prior Jun 22, 2024 4:31:56 GMT
BB: e.g. avg. 35% + (STD of 5 * 3 = 15) = 50, so 15 * .50 = 7.5 * $50 = $375 when flat betting for one set, 3 sets (generous) $1,125. Covers most real world scenarios. Using Kelly or whatever it's obviously a function of percentages. Jun 22, 2024 4:29:25 GMT
BB: individual strike rate is and then take the average and standard deviation of those, then multiple the STD by 3 or 4 and add it to the average and use that as your maximum draw down to carry a losing set. 1 should be enough, but 3 would be generous. Jun 22, 2024 4:25:11 GMT
BB: Depends. There are an abundance of theoretical formulas for calculating that, but real world its best to just look at it as failed series or sets. If you have a independent split of say 300 results, divide that by 15 (the set) and then see what each sets Jun 22, 2024 4:22:46 GMT
kevinm: What sort of a bank you need to bet $50 at a S/R of 35% to see it through? Average price $3.2 Jun 21, 2024 23:31:34 GMT *
kevinm: Well so much for that, no tips and now they tell me there were only 48 bets for the last year for a profit of about $1100 at a $50 bet, a hundred and fifty bucks down the drain for the sub. How stupid can you get? Don't say! A dart will do from now on. Jun 21, 2024 23:29:47 GMT
kevinm: visitor, my first tips are coming on Friday, they say it's before 4PM so plenty of time to place a bet for Saturday races, don't quite know if they provide betting guidance as well or if it's win, place or eaw. Let you know. Jun 18, 2024 17:58:26 GMT
shipton: Have posted the result sheet for Monday night have included an additional column with some explanation in the thread, might be of some interest to somone Jun 18, 2024 9:34:18 GMT
shipton: have posted the sheet for Monday night meeting will add some more Jun 16, 2024 6:17:45 GMT
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